Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000038 0.000040 0.000043 0.000046 0.000048 0.000051 0.000055
2025-08-10 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042 0.000046 0.000051 0.000056 0.000062
2025-08-17 0.000032 0.000036 0.000040 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000066
2025-08-24 0.000029 0.000033 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000069
2025-08-31 0.000028 0.000033 0.000038 0.000045 0.000053 0.000062 0.000074
2025-09-07 0.000027 0.000032 0.000037 0.000045 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079
2025-09-14 0.000025 0.000030 0.000036 0.000043 0.000053 0.000064 0.000080
2025-09-21 0.000024 0.000029 0.000034 0.000042 0.000052 0.000064 0.000081
2025-09-28 0.000022 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064 0.000082
2025-10-05 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000050 0.000063 0.000082
2025-10-12 0.000020 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000050 0.000064 0.000084
2025-10-19 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000039 0.000050 0.000065 0.000088
2025-10-26 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000039 0.000051 0.000067 0.000092
2025-11-02 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000040 0.000052 0.000070 0.000098
2025-11-09 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000039 0.000052 0.000071 0.000100
2025-11-16 0.000017 0.000022 0.000028 0.000038 0.000051 0.000070 0.000101
2025-11-23 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000038 0.000053 0.000073 0.000107
2025-11-30 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000038 0.000053 0.000075 0.000112
2025-12-07 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000037 0.000052 0.000074 0.000112
2025-12-14 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000036 0.000051 0.000073 0.000112
2025-12-21 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000035 0.000050 0.000072 0.000112
2025-12-28 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000071 0.000111
2026-01-04 0.000013 0.000018 0.000024 0.000033 0.000048 0.000072 0.000113